Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 101233.555458 106661.117363 112081.574184 117897.552229 123957.566841 130082.085565 136735.947556
2025-08-10 92062.371449 100356.419999 108865.049665 118235.386177 128253.921282 138633.365535 150188.450014
2025-08-17 85301.045648 95540.658187 106270.918577 118331.467268 131486.724758 145377.845263 161131.927026
2025-08-24 80921.015317 92705.917022 105275.300220 119642.154267 135570.808922 152651.658795 172314.132352
2025-08-31 76422.213808 89332.991722 103320.542603 119546.705194 137795.508858 157628.259814 180754.442401
2025-09-07 73652.499786 87641.769892 103008.265583 121066.439699 141629.449218 164237.692285 190893.881839
2025-09-14 70947.900620 85827.850816 102382.303047 122069.338488 144742.946657 169935.554598 199937.877404
2025-09-21 68036.032718 83605.207311 101136.695021 122220.591005 146762.534015 174300.123194 207401.614319
2025-09-28 65431.530336 81603.707694 100022.309460 122406.918349 148722.591621 178520.866559 214649.265368
2025-10-05 64046.886777 80957.355146 100415.946258 124289.343689 152606.093011 184932.557872 224427.528598
2025-10-12 62599.664809 80156.645015 100559.411426 125818.391670 156033.160905 190793.642918 233570.553814
2025-10-19 60918.449365 78995.301325 100205.280097 126695.088786 158642.651281 195671.129054 241556.822209
2025-10-26 58909.259893 77382.016927 99270.091797 126851.433099 160391.917664 199559.205978 248435.235877
2025-11-02 57166.209268 76035.507648 98605.969371 127291.743415 162452.822819 203807.311772 255756.370272
2025-11-09 55371.654013 74558.854159 97723.746549 127412.552663 164085.156712 207518.039988 262429.700952
2025-11-16 54315.769904 73969.587694 97901.317819 128809.044313 167257.311356 213081.854375 271356.037821
2025-11-23 52605.270047 72487.570065 96912.767109 128708.662176 168549.770537 216343.318633 277485.214752
2025-11-30 51795.140712 72130.129906 97310.696623 130322.939476 171956.543299 222189.096271 286792.056307
2025-12-07 50780.122730 71469.500088 97293.073101 131388.009169 174664.047053 227177.127080 295066.860489
2025-12-14 49412.118940 70302.987114 96590.576650 131548.633931 176210.665642 230719.919486 301563.576023
2025-12-21 48127.386098 69206.627932 95942.471523 131746.491644 177780.001454 234278.623531 308083.415648
2025-12-28 47679.175383 69205.754790 96699.684876 133745.194093 181638.848262 240707.644759 318212.513376
2026-01-04 47096.189487 69001.842802 97175.150526 135368.447128 185017.859618 246548.584316 327638.389283